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China's local mango supply in Nov-24 was limited, mainly sourced from Hainan, with additional smaller contributions from high-altitude regions in Yunnan and Sichuan provinces. The total nationwide production for the month was approximately 20 thousand metric tons (mt). The primary varieties included Jinhuang, Tainong, Guifei, and Keitt. The heavy rainfall in Hainan from Sep-24 to Nov-24 disrupted crop management, particularly irrigation scheduling, pest control, and pruning, affecting fruit quality and delaying harvests until Apr-25. As a result, farm gate prices surged three to four times their mid-year peak, with wholesale prices averaging USD 1.58 per kilogram (RMB 11.5/kg), a 12.3% year-on-year (YoY) increase. For the first 10 months of 2024, national mango exports reached 87.8 thousand mt, doubling in volume and value to the previous year, with Vietnam, Russia, and Hong Kong as the primary export destinations.
Sinaloa's mango production for 2025 faces uncertainty due to persistent drought and low rainfall, which could hinder early tree flowering and result in smaller fruits and a higher risk of premature fruit drop. The Ataulfo mango variety in Escuinapa has already begun flowering, with widespread flowering expected by Feb-25. However, the nearly completed Santa María dam's lack of functional irrigation may worsen the situation. While irrigation canals are expected to be operational by mid-2025, delays in water delivery could further affect yields, highlighting the critical importance of efficient water management for the region's mango production.
The Peruvian mango industry is facing its toughest campaign, with prices hitting record lows throughout the 2024/25 season. The harvest in Piura began in Oct-24 and is expected to end in early Jan-25. During this period, export prices have dropped significantly. Sea-exported mangoes fell from USD 3.19 to 1.59/20-kg bag (PEN 12 to 6/20-kg bag), while air-exported mangoes averaged just USD 0.39/kg (PEN 1.5/kg). A 40% production decrease caused by drought and a water crisis on Peru's northern coast has further strained the industry, leaving producers struggling to cover costs. Competition with Brazil and Ecuador during overlapping export windows has also depressed prices in primary markets like Europe and the United States (US). In regions such as Casma and Moro, drought has disrupted fruit setting, pushing many producers into debt and prompting calls for government financial support to sustain the industry.
Peru's mango industry faces ongoing challenges due to climate change, with a significant 70% YoY drop in export volumes caused by poor flowering from El Niño. While weather conditions have improved in 2024, issues like limited irrigation have led to an early harvest, with peak shipments expected between December and January. Adding to the strain, global logistics pressures complicate matters, including container shortages and competition for transport with other Peruvian exports like blueberries, grapes, and Chilean cherries. Despite these challenges, investments in advanced packing facilities and innovative strategies have allowed Peruvian exporters to double capacity, explore new markets in Korea and Japan, and maintain a year-round frozen produce operation, ensuring industry sustainability and support for local farming communities.
Paraguay's mango industry presented its first nationally certified mangoes at the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Family Farming Fair in Asunción. The grafted pink variety and Tommy Atkins mangoes received certification for meeting international phytosanitary standards, ensuring they are free from pests and agrochemicals. Driven by collaboration between local producers and specialized technicians, this accomplishment positions Paraguayan mangoes as a promising export product. Paraguay plans to target Chile as its first export destination by 2026, with the intention of expanding into other international markets. The country's subtropical climate provides a comparative advantage, producing mangoes with higher nutrient and sugar content and enhancing global competitiveness.
Mango prices in Peru dropped by 16.67% week-on-week (WoW) to USD 0.35/kg in W52, with a 33.96% MoM drop and a more significant drop of 72.44% YoY due to continued market saturation from overlapping harvests with Brazilian supply, which intensified competition and put further downward pressure on prices. Additionally, logistical challenges, including high transportation costs and customs delays, compounded the price decline. The YoY drop is largely driven by a higher base price in the previous year when supply constraints and stronger international demand led to elevated pricing. Despite these challenges, Peru is focused on diversifying markets and enhancing packing technologies to maintain its competitive edge.
Peruvian mango exporters should prioritize investments in advanced packing technologies, such as automated sorting systems and modified atmosphere packaging, to enhance product quality and shelf life during transportation. Logistics optimization strategies, including integrating cold chain solutions and advanced container tracking systems, can address global shipping challenges. Exploring new high-demand markets like Korea and Japan and maintaining a robust frozen mango supply chain will help offset export declines. Collaborating with local farming communities to adopt efficient irrigation practices will further support sustainable production and ensure long-term industry stability.
Mango producers in Sinaloa should adopt strategic water management techniques, such as drip irrigation systems and rainwater harvesting, to mitigate the effects of persistent drought and low rainfall on early tree flowering and fruit development. Proactively scheduling water delivery and collaborating with local agricultural organizations to optimize irrigation canal operations by mid-2025 can further enhance resilience, reducing the risk of yield losses and ensuring consistent fruit quality.
Exporters and distributors of Chinese mangoes should diversify sourcing by establishing stronger partnerships with regions like Yunnan and Sichuan, emphasizing long-term contracts and support for local farming practices to ensure consistent supply during disruptions in Hainan. Additionally, exporters should invest in advanced post-harvest technologies such as controlled-atmosphere storage and precision logistics to maintain fruit quality, ensuring competitiveness in markets like Vietnam, Russia, and Hong Kong.
Sources: Tridge, Agraria, Freshplaza, Oem, Npr, ProHass, Producereport, Ultimahora
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