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A prolonged heatwave and lack of rainfall are severely affecting mango production in Bangladesh's Rajshahi region. This region includes Rajshahi, Chapainawabganj, Naogaon, and Natore, areas that together produce half of the country’s mango supply. Farmers report that nearly 60% of immature mangoes have dropped prematurely due to extreme heat, while many blossoms are drying out before developing into fruit. Although the Department of Agricultural Extension (DAE) forecasts a total yield of 1.22 million metric tons (mmt) from 93.2 thousand hectares (ha), there is growing concern that the ongoing drought may cause production to fall short of last year’s 1.21 mmt. Expected outputs include 450 thousand metric tons (mt) from Chapainawabganj, 432 thousand mt from Naogaon, and 260 thousand mt from Rajshahi. In response, the DAE has advised farmers to adopt flood irrigation techniques, noting that moderate watering is no longer adequate under current conditions. Despite the challenges, officials remain cautiously hopeful that the expected yields can still be reached with timely action and ongoing support.
In India, unseasonal rains have significantly disrupted the mango harvest, causing a sharp decline in supply and a price surge, particularly in markets like Margao. Typically abundant by early April, mangoes are in short supply this year, with wholesale prices reaching USD 174.22 per 100 kilograms (INR 15,000/100kg) and retail prices rising even higher. The delayed fruiting has led to subdued market activity and hesitation among vendors, many of whom are reluctant to purchase at high prices due to concerns about profitability. This scarcity has strained both sellers and consumers during what is traditionally the peak mango season. Despite the current challenges, vendors remain optimistic that supply will improve in the coming weeks, potentially stabilizing prices and revitalizing the market.
In Burkina Faso, the 2025 organic mango season began earlier than usual to align with Ramadan and meet strong demand in Morocco, the country's primary export destination. Production continues to rely on traditional orchards, with no notable expansion in organic acreage. Early harvests of the Amélie variety appear stable, though the overall season's output remains uncertain.
Demand for Burkina Faso's fresh organic mangoes has weakened in Europe due to increased global supply, growing competition from neighboring West African countries with superior logistics, and persistently high transport costs from this landlocked nation. Morocco offers a more dependable market with better pricing and business conditions. Burkina Faso's export competitiveness, particularly in Europe, could improve with enhanced port access under Morocco's Atlantic initiative, a 2023 program designed to strengthen trade routes and port access for landlocked Sahel countries.
In the Philippines, the provincial government of Zambales is intensifying efforts to boost mango production through the Zambales Mango Green Valley Project, a flagship initiative aimed at modernizing cultivation practices and enhancing yields. Currently in its second phase, the project targets the rehabilitation of 20.8 thousand mango trees by improving farm management, fertilization, and irrigation, backed by a USD 705 thousand budget. The objective is to increase productivity from 2.3 to 12 tons/ha, aligning with the national average and enhancing market competitiveness, building on Phase 1 activities such as land clearing, flower induction, input application, and harvesting at pilot farms. In collaboration with local institutions and farmer groups, the initiative funds critical operations such as flower induction and fruit bagging. Looking ahead, Phase 3 will focus on propagating the Sweet Elena variety, establishing a mango training center, and developing a post-harvest facility to strengthen branding, expand exports, and support greenhouse-based cultivation.
In the United States (US), mango supply is rising as Mexico’s season progresses, led by significant volumes of Honey (Ataulfo) mangoes. Prized for their small size, sweet flavor, and fiberless texture, these mangoes are in high demand. Its season is expected to extend through June or July. Mexico has also begun shipping light volumes of Haden and Tommy Atkins varieties, with availability expected to increase in the coming weeks. This growing Mexican supply is being supported by smaller shipments from Guatemala, Nicaragua, and Costa Rica, whose seasons are projected to peak during April. The period of strongest mango supply, May through July, aligns with peak consumer demand, especially around Cinco de Mayo, the leading mango sales holiday in the US. Following a strong season in Peru, overall market conditions remain favorable, with March seeing demand outpacing supply and forecasts indicating rising volumes across all origins due to favorable weather and growing conditions.
Peru's mango prices dropped by 7.14% week-on-week (WoW) to USD 0.52/kg in W15, with a more significant decline of 57.38% year-on-year (YoY). The sharp YoY decline is mainly due to the weaker market performance this season, driven by reduced export volumes and lower fruit quality caused by the impact of El Niño. In contrast, prices increased by 10.64% month-on-month (MoM), reflecting tighter supply conditions, as El Niño led to a 70 to 80% decrease in mango production for the 2023/24 season.
Mango prices in Brazil increased by 4.76% WoW to USD 0.88/kg, supported by strong local and export demand, even as the country moves through the peak of its mango harvest season, which typically runs from March to June. The price increase is further driven by heightened export activity as Brazil approaches its main export window from May to September. However, MoM and YoY prices dropped significantly by 16.19% due to a larger-than-expected supply earlier in the season, which led to market saturation. Additionally, quality issues caused by inconsistent weather conditions, including sporadic rainfall, have affected overall fruit quality, putting downward pressure on prices compared to the previous month and the same period last year.
In W15, India's mango prices fell by 18.18% WoW to USD 0.36/kg, with a 47.06% MoM decrease. This price drop is primarily due to harvest disruptions caused by unseasonal rains, which led to delayed fruiting and an oversupply of immature mangoes not suitable for market sales. Although mangoes are typically abundant by this time, the poor fruit quality has temporarily saturated the market with unsellable produce, pushing prices down. However, YoY prices rose by 20% due to last year's lower yields and high demand, which set a higher price baseline for comparison.
Mango suppliers and vendors should collaborate to optimize supply chain logistics by securing early access to the forthcoming mango harvest. This includes pre-negotiating prices and establishing relationships with growers to ensure a consistent and stable supply when the market rebounds. Additionally, vendors should focus on building consumer trust through transparent communication about supply constraints and expected price stabilization. Offering smaller, more affordable packaging options or promotional discounts for early purchases could also help maintain sales momentum while waiting for supply to normalize.
Mango farmers in Bangladesh’s Rajshahi region must immediately implement advanced irrigation techniques, such as drip or flood irrigation, to combat the heatwave and drought. By ensuring consistent moisture levels in the soil, farmers can reduce premature fruit drop and support mango blossom development. Additionally, utilizing water-efficient methods like mulching can help retain soil moisture. Farmers should also explore crop-shading methods to protect blossoms from direct heat and prevent further damage. Encouraging collaborations with local agricultural experts and providing training on these techniques will further improve resilience against the ongoing climate challenges.
Sources: Tridge, Burkinature, Bssnews, Deccan Chronicle, Freshplaza, Fruitnet, Heraldgoa, KK Star, Mission Produce, PIA
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