China's macadamia production may increase by another 10,000 tons, Kenya tries to circumvent the ban and smuggle to China

The article provides an overview of the global macadamia production landscape, forecasting a 6% increase to 344,240 tons by 2025, with notable exceptions like Australia due to hurricane impacts. Major producing countries, including China, are expanding their planting areas, contributing to the rise in production. Kenya's macadamia production is expected to grow by 5-8% this year, despite an export ban on shelled nuts. Meanwhile, demand in China remains steady, with[INST] tariff negotiations underway with South African suppliers. Australia's production forecast remains uncertain after being hit by Cyclone Alfred, but demand in European and Asian markets remains strong. South Africa's production is also on the rise, with a preliminary estimate of 95,500 tons for 2025, subject to potential adjustments due to hot weather conditions. The global macadamia shell production is expected to reach 1.54 million tons in 2025, with kernel production forecasted to increase by 9% to 96,180 tons.

According to German Mundus Agri, based on the latest data from the International Nut and Dried Fruit Council (INC), global macadamia production will increase by 6% to 344,240 tons in 2025. However, Australia has been affected by hurricanes recently, and the production outlook is not optimistic. Except for Vietnam, the production of major producing countries will increase, and China's production is expected to increase to 74,500 tons due to the expansion of planting area. As Kenyan macadamia enters the harvest season, shelled nut purchases have been launched on March 1. Contrary to last year, the government still insists on implementing the export ban on shelled nuts. Exporters have purchased 2,000-3,000 tons of shelled nuts and intend to ship them to China. Although some of them may be resold in the domestic market in Kenya, traders believe that some shelled nuts can be smuggled to China through Tanzania, thus circumventing the ban. Due to the Kenyan macadamia nut The flowering ...