Pig industry outlook 2025: pig stock, consumption, and trade in China

The article forecasts a decrease in piglet production in 2024 due to lower sow numbers, but a recovery is expected by the end of the year, leading to higher pork production in the second half of 2025. This increase is attributed to farmers and large companies responding to rising pork prices. However, pork consumption in China is expected to decline by 2025 due to dietary preferences shifting towards other animal proteins. Despite this, pork imports are projected to remain stable, with a slight increase in exports driven by demand in Hong Kong and Japan.

Source: 3tres3.com Lower sow numbers in 2024 will result in a decrease in the number of piglets raised for meat. Furthermore, pork production in the second half of 2025 is expected to be higher than in the first half of 2025, as sow numbers recover by the end of 2024. This increase in production comes from the response of pig farmers and large companies to recent increases in pork prices. Farmers have developed techniques to manage and control African Swine Fever. According to USDA sources, although ASF outbreaks are sporadic, the impact of ASF on pig production remains limited. In addition, the proportion of pigs raised by large-scale pig farms is increasing, and these companies are better prepared to prevent ASF. Pork Consumption to Decline Due to Dietary Changes Pork consumption to decline by 2025 is largely due to dietary changes. Pork remains the dominant meat, but consumers are increasingly shifting to other animal protein sources, such as beef, poultry, and seafood, many of ...