Global pistachio production may halve to 600,000 tons, causing supply to tighten!

According to German media Mundus Agri, the harvest of early green Turkish hazelnuts has begun, and the situation for the new crop season presents a rather complex scenario. In the main producing region of Gaziantep Province, yield differences are significant, with orchards affected by a supercell storm in May expected to have lower yields, while orchards with good irrigation conditions generally perform better. In Şanlıurfa Province, the yield is expected to decrease significantly compared to last year, with drought and hail further lowering the yield. Official research institutions have not yet released reliable national yield data. Some highly optimistic exporters predict the yield to be between 150,000 and 200,000 tons, while others tend to believe it will only be 100,000 tons. Although Turkey is in a big year for its hazelnut production cycle, all news suggests that this year's yield will be lower than last year's. Turkey is not the only major producing country with lower-than-expected yields. Traders warn that the supply of hazelnuts will tighten in the 2026/27 season. Anastasi, an Italian-based processor, stated that the actual yield in multiple countries will be lower than the forecast by the International Nut and Dried Fruit Council (INC) at its May conference. Currently, the market expects the global total yield to be about 46% lower than last year, at approximately 600,180 tons, while the INC's more optimistic forecast was 701,050 tons. The total global supply will also drop by 33%, from 1,310,000 tons in the 2025/26 season to 875,650 tons in the 2026/27 season. The harvest in the United States will start in September, but the hottest March on record has caused flower scorch, raising market concerns about a poor harvest. However, there is a glimmer of hope as fewer nuts usually mean larger hazelnuts. Anastasi has reduced its yield forecast for Turkey to 130,000 tons, which is still better than last year's level. Iran's yield forecast has also been reduced, with the market currently expecting a nearly 50% decrease compared to last year. The main reason for the reduced yield is the national power shortage that has caused irrigation interruptions, according to the Iranian Pistachio Association (IPA). In addition, export restrictions remain in place due to ongoing war. Image source: Pixabay 2025 International Fruit and Vegetable Report All rights reserved. For permission to reproduce, contact the International Fruit and Vegetable Report and credit it to the International Fruit and Vegetable Report.

According to German media Mundus Agri, the harvest of early green Turkish hazelnuts has begun, and the situation for the new crop season is quite complex. In the main production area of Gaziantep province, there is a significant variation in yield, with orchards affected by the supercell storm in May expected to have lower yields, while orchards with good irrigation conditions generally perform better. Yields in Şanlıurfa province are expected to decrease significantly compared to last year, with drought and hail further lowering yields. Official research institutions have not yet released reliable national yield data. Some highly optimistic exporters predict yields between 150,000 and 200,000 tons, while others tend to believe that only 100,000 tons will be produced. Despite Turkey being in a big year for its hazelnut production cycle, all signs point to a lower yield this year compared to last year. Turkey is not the only major producer with lower-than-expected yields. Traders ...