The Brazilian bean market faces pressure due to adverse weather and increased supply

The Brazilian carioca and black bean markets are experiencing a slowdown due to low demand and increased buyer selectivity. The carioca market is struggling with high prices for high-quality beans and excessive rainfall in Paraná producing smaller, stained grains. The black bean market is also slow due to reduced demand before the end-of-year festivities. Prices remain stable, but uncertainty about the quality and productivity of the harvest due to weather conditions is increasing market cautiousness. Approximately one-third of the first harvest of 2025 is expected to be harvested early in January, which will increase supply and pressure on prices. Despite these challenges, the market offers opportunities for strategic adjustments.

The Brazilian carioca bean market recorded weak performance this week, reflecting low demand and increased selectivity on the part of buyers. According to Evandro Oliveira, a consultant at Safras & Mercado, the volume of business was limited, even on the busiest days. Most of the lots traded consisted of commercial grains from Minas Gerais, São Paulo and Paraná. In Paraná, excessive rainfall resulted in smaller and stained grains, putting pressure on prices and discouraging buyers. The shortage of high-quality beans (grade 9.5 or higher) continues, with prices above R$270.00 per bag in the São Paulo Cereal Zone, making negotiations difficult. “Producers have been intensifying the sale of lower-quality lots, fearing further price drops. This movement, combined with the decline in consumption in the second half of 2025, should increase carryover stocks to levels more than 60% higher than the previous year. Although this guarantees supply, pressure on prices increases with the ...